The Conflict Ledger Pulse | 12 February 2026
Today’s edition tracks a worrying convergence: escalating civilian-targeted warfare, shifting militia loyalties, and a rapidly hardening geopolitical landscape across Africa. From a drone strike on a mosque in Sudan that killed children and signals a deeper normalization of aerial warfare against civilian spaces, to armed confrontations between police and illegal mining networks in South Africa, and rising rebellion risks in the Central African Republic as a Russian-trained militia turns against the state, the pattern is clear.
Conflicts are fragmenting, local actors are re-aligning, and external powers are increasingly embedded in domestic security dynamics.
