Central African Republic

Common name used for the war/conflict

CAR civil war

Status of conflict

Violence is fragmented, more “armed chaos” than full-scale war.

Conflict Start Date

10 December 2012 – present.

Location

CAR, with spillover into Cameroon, Chad, Sudan, and DRC.

Status

Ongoing. Since Jan 2021, government forces and allies (Russia/Wagner, Rwanda, MINUSCA) have retaken more ground than at any point since the war began, but rebel groups remain active, especially in rural areas.

Actors

Government side: Central African Armed Forces (FACA), MINUSCA (UN peacekeepers, est. 2014), Russian Wagner Group/Africa Corps (since 2017/2018), Rwandan troops (since 2020).
Opposition side: Séléka coalition (2012–14, splintered into ex-Séléka factions), Anti-balaka militias (Christian/animist self-defense), Coalition of Patriots for Change (CPC, est. 2020, led by ex-president Bozizé), Other armed groups: FPRC, UPC, MPC, 3R, among others (14+ active groups).

Key Leaders

Government: Faustin-Archange Touadéra (President since 2016).
Rebel/Ex-Séléka: Michel Djotodia (2013–14 President); Ali Darassa (UPC leader).
CPC/Ex-President: François Bozizé.

Major Events

2013: Séléka seizes Bangui, ousts Bozizé; Djotodia becomes president. Anti-balaka militias form, unleashing revenge violence.
2014: Djotodia resigns; Samba-Panza interim president. UN launches MINUSCA.
2016: Touadéra elected president.
2017–18: Russia signs military cooperation agreement; Wagner enters.
2019: Khartoum Peace Agreement signed between govt. and 14 armed groups (largely unimplemented).
2020–21: CPC formed to block elections. CPC offensive repelled in Bangui; govt. counteroffensive with Wagner + Rwanda retakes territory.
2023: Constitutional referendum removes term limits, letting Touadéra seek third term.

Humanitarian Impact

Fatalities: Thousands; 3,000–6,000 killed in 2013–14 alone.
Displacement: >1.1M displaced. (451,000 IDPs; 750,000 refugees as of 2024). One in five Central Africans displaced.
Humanitarian Need: 2.4M need assistance (2025). Sudan war adds pressure with refugee inflows and higher food prices.

What the Conflict is Really About (CAR civil war)

The CAR conflict is not only a civil war, it’s a struggle over who controls the state and its resources, whether sovereignty can survive partnerships built on extraction, and how identity and foreign influence shape one of the world’s most fragile countries.

Power and State Collapse

CAR’s history of coups left a fragile state, with government control rarely extending beyond Bangui.
Most of the country is under the sway of armed rebel groups that not only compete against the state, but also among themselves for territory and resources. President Touadéra focuses on regime survival, consolidating power by scrapping term limits and marginalising opposition.

Resource Plunder as War Economy

Diamonds, gold, and timber fuel the conflict as Armed groups fund themselves through mining, smuggling, and extortion.
The Touadéra government trades concessions to Wagner for military support, effectively outsourcing state security to foreign actors.
Wagner controls strategic mining sites like Ndassima, accused of large-scale smuggling and violent expulsions of artisanal miners.

Identity and Sectarian Manipulation

Originally political/economic, the conflict hardened into sectarian lines: Predominantly Muslim Séléka vs. Christian/animist Anti-balaka.
Cycles of revenge produced atrocities and “ethnic cleansing” of Muslim communities.
Leaders exploit identity politics as a strategy, mobilising support, justifying violence, and carving out zones of influence.
The national army (FACA) remains ethnically fragmented, preventing a unifying security force.

Geopolitics and the Sovereignty Debate

The war is also a contest of influence:
Russia presents itself as CAR’s “true ally,” delivering battlefield wins where France and UN peacekeepers failed. Many Central Africans welcome Wagner’s “tough” approach.
France and Western powers see Wagner as destabilising, extracting resources, and committing war crimes with impunity.
The real trade-off: sovereignty for survival. The government has tied its fate to Russia, raising the question of whether CAR’s resources and future are being exchanged to keep Touadéra in power.